‘We are headed very much to a catastrophic war,’ expert says on U.S.-Iran nuclear dispute.
Badr Albusaidi, Oman’s Foreign Minister confirmed on social media on Sunday that the next round of talks are set to be held in Geneva on Feb. 26
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“Given the military forces that have been deployed in the Persian Gulf, military analysts are saying that this looks like the lead up to the 2003 Iraq war,” Nader Hashemi, associate professor of Middle East and Islamic Politics at Georgetown University in Washington, D.C. told CTV Your Morning on Friday.
“It seems like the U.S. is preparing for a major military attack on Iran, much larger and much bigger than what we saw last June.”
U.S. forces struck three Iranian nuclear facilities in June 2025 as part of an attempt to slow Iran’s nuclear program.
Iran retaliated with strikes on Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar, targeting U.S. forces, following a ceasefire between Iran and Israel.
Protests over the country’s political and economic situation began at the end of that year, prompting global protests, including across Canada.
But tensions between the two countries continue, as Trump stated at his inaugural Board of Peace meeting on Feb. 19 in Washington, D.C. that if a deal is not made between the two countries, “bad things will happen.”
Trump also said at the meeting that the world will find out in 10 days if a deal happens or whether the U.S military will take action.
Hashemi says the presence of the U.S. military in the region and Trump’s continued rhetoric are pressure tactics to ensure Iran agrees to U.S. demands.
“I don’t have a lot of optimism that these talks are going to produce a diplomatic breakthrough because they’ve been set up in such a way that Iran will have to reject the American demands because they are so comprehensive,” he said.
“I think (Trump) is just waiting until he has enough military assets in the region to strike Iran, hoping that is going to produce a big gain for him personally and advance U.S. interests in the region more broadly.”
Trump’s Board of Peace meeting also resulted in US$7 billion pledged towards rebuilding Gaza amidst the Israel-Hamas conflict from some attending members.
But as talks continue between Iran and the U.S., Hashemi says the presence of the U.S. military in the region could potentially point to a war and not a resolution between the two countries.
“To deploy this amount of military hardware to aircraft carrier strike groups, it’s very expensive for the U.S. to do that and sustain that type of military presence for a long period of time if you’re not going to use it,” he said.
“I suspect this is all the lead up to a major war, but again, when it comes to Trump, what he’s known for is his unpredictability (...) he tends to sort of make big decisions based on the last conversation he’s had with someone in the room, so these things can change very quickly ...
My reading is that we are headed very much to a catastrophic war whose implications can’t be predicted at this moment.”
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